The Bills have lost three times in four seasons to the Chiefs, 38-24, 42-36, and 27-24. Notice a trend?
Every matchup has gotten closer, and every matchup has hit over 50 points.
This game is going to be high-scoring, with Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen going head-to-head.
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Buffalo Bills player prop best bet
Josh Allen 49.5 rushing yards: OVER (-110)
One thing you have to say about the Bills' three straight playoff losses to the Chiefs is that Josh Allen has left it all on the field in each matchup.
Allen rushed for 88 yards in 2020, 68 in 2021, and 72 in 2023. While Allen has rushed for fewer total yards this season as he has focused more on a balanced attack and ball security, expect him to use his legs a lot on Sunday.
Kansas City Chiefs player prop best bet
Travis Kelce 69.5 receiving yards: OVER (-112)
Kelce has turned things up in the playoffs every year in his career. Some players live for the spotlight and shine bright in big games.
Just last week, Kelce went off for 117 yards, and in the playoffs last season, he never had a game with less than 71 yards.
Here is a crazy stat for you: Kelce had never had less than 71 yards in a game since 2020, when the Chiefs started their run of Super Bowl dominance.
Bills vs. Chiefs best bet: OVER 48.5 total points (-110)
Remember the opening of this article, with each score listed of the last three Bills vs. Chiefs playoff matchups? Every game has had at least 50 points. The average total points of those three matchups is 64 points a game.
These two teams score the football in big games, and that is not going to stop now.
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